Until price closes a full session outside that band there is nothing to act on here — AMAT is sitting at 105% of its 20-session range. Watch those two prices, not the noise between them.
Not this ticker — the one from last week you still haven’t explained to yourself. Everyone has one. Bring it and you’ll get back whether it was a bad process or a perfectly valid loss, plus the single rule that would have caught it. No email, nothing saved, nothing sold.
Debrief the one you regret →One email — the day AMAT closes a session outside $411.51–$533.88. Not a newsletter. That one email, then we stop.
No card. Unsubscribe in one click — though for this there is nothing to unsubscribe from after it sends.
Setup is forming but not confirmed (score 64/100). Wait for the trigger + participation before risking money.
This is the arithmetic sum of the named factors below — not a probability, not an accuracy claim. Everything that moved it is listed. Nothing is hidden in a model.
The market backdrop first, because the same setup is not the same trade in a different tape. Then this name’s own structure.
An observable, reproducible trigger: a completed daily close holding above 533.88 — the prior 20-session high.
The idea is objectively wrong on a completed close back through 471.38 (recent 5-session low).
Stop distance is $62.5 (level 533.88 → invalidation 471.38). Enter YOUR maximum planned loss to get an educational share-equivalent: units = floor(your risk ÷ $62.5). Excludes gaps, slippage, fees, fractional-share rules, leverage and options multipliers.
Completed-session volume is AVERAGE versus the prior 20 sessions (0.96× average).
Same engine, same transparency, any ticker. No card, no signup, no limit here.
Before you trust any of it: how often this score is wrong — we measured it · every trade the bot made, losers included
We publish how often we are wrong. The calibration for this score — including where it fails — is public at /research. Almost nobody in this category publishes that, and a score you cannot audit is an opinion with a decimal point.
We give you the level that proves it wrong, not just the entry. AMAT is invalid below $411.51. Anyone can tell you where to buy; the number that protects capital is the one that ends the argument.
These levels are fixed for the 2026-10-02 session. They are not rewritten after the move, so this page can be checked against what actually happened.
Same standard, every name you hold. Seats open in order — no card.
Hold my seat →Same standard, same data, no signup.
Generated Oct 4, 2026, 12:26 PM ET · data as of the 2026-10-02 session · these levels are fixed for the session, not rewritten after the move.
Objective market data and a transparent, rules-based framework — not financial advice, a recommendation, or a signal to buy or sell. The edge score is a sum of the named factors shown, not a probability or accuracy claim. Share-equivalent figures exclude gaps, slippage, fees, fractional-share rules, leverage and options multipliers. Trading involves risk of loss. We publish a measurement of this score’s own predictive power, including the part where it fails: see the calibration.